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Research Article| Volume 371, P21-31, April 2023

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Association of remnant cholesterol with risk of cardiovascular disease events, stroke, and mortality: A systemic review and meta-analysis

  • Author Footnotes
    1 Zhang BL, Cheng Y and Yang XH contributed equally to this work.
    Xiu Hong Yang
    Footnotes
    1 Zhang BL, Cheng Y and Yang XH contributed equally to this work.
    Affiliations
    Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Pudong Hospital, Fudan University, Pudong Medical Center, 2800 Gong Wei Road, Shanghai, China
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  • Author Footnotes
    1 Zhang BL, Cheng Y and Yang XH contributed equally to this work.
    Bao Long Zhang
    Footnotes
    1 Zhang BL, Cheng Y and Yang XH contributed equally to this work.
    Affiliations
    The Institutes of Biomedical Sciences (IBS), Fudan University, 130 Dongan Road, Shanghai, China
    Search for articles by this author
  • Author Footnotes
    1 Zhang BL, Cheng Y and Yang XH contributed equally to this work.
    Yun Cheng
    Footnotes
    1 Zhang BL, Cheng Y and Yang XH contributed equally to this work.
    Affiliations
    Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Pudong Hospital, Fudan University, Pudong Medical Center, 2800 Gong Wei Road, Shanghai, China
    Search for articles by this author
  • Shun Kun Fu
    Correspondence
    Corresponding author.
    Affiliations
    Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Pudong Hospital, Fudan University, Pudong Medical Center, 2800 Gong Wei Road, Shanghai, China
    Search for articles by this author
  • Hui Min Jin
    Correspondence
    Corresponding author.
    Affiliations
    Division of Nephrology, Shanghai Pudong Hospital, Fudan University, Pudong Medical Center, 2800 Gong Wei Road, Shanghai, China
    Search for articles by this author
  • Author Footnotes
    1 Zhang BL, Cheng Y and Yang XH contributed equally to this work.

      Highlights

      • Remnant-C (RC) have been emerging as a CVD risk factor in recent years.
      • Elevated RC was associated with increased risk of CVD events, stroke, and mortality.
      • Per 1.0-mmol/L of RC increase was associated with the increased risk of CVD events and CHD.
      • This association is independent on total cholesterol, triglyceride, ApoB levels or BMI.
      • Clinicians should pay attention to RC in clinic.

      Abstract

      Background and aims

      Lipid disorders are associated with the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). Remnant cholesterol (RC), a non-traditional previously neglected risk factor for CVD, has received much attention in recent years. The aim of this study is to evaluate the association of RC with the risks of CVD, stroke, and mortality.

      Methods

      MEDLINE, Web of Science, EMBASE, ClinicalTrials.gov, and Cochrane Central Register for Controlled Trials were searched. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs), non-RCTs, and observational cohort studies assessing the association of RC with the risks of cardiovascular (CV) events, coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, and mortality.

      Results

      Overall, 31 studies were included in this meta-analysis. Compared with low RC, elevated RC was associated with an increased risk of CVD, CHD, stroke, CVD mortality, and all-cause mortality (RR = 1.53, 95% CI 1.41–1.66; RR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.19–1.67; RR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.24–1.66; RR = 1.83, 95% CI 1.53–2.19; and RR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.27–1.50; respectively). A subgroup analysis demonstrated that each 1.0 mmol/L increase in RC was associated with an increased risk of CVD events and CHD. The association of RC with an increased CVD risk was not dependent on the presence or absence of diabetes, a fasted or non-fasted state, total cholesterol, or triglyceride or ApoB stratification.

      Conclusions

      Elevated RC is associated with an increased risk of CVD, stroke, and mortality. In addition to the traditional cardiovascular risk factors, such as total cholesterol and LDL-C, clinicians should also pay attention to RC in clinics.

      Graphical abstract

      Keywords

      1. Introduction

      Lipid disorders, especially those involving elevated cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein C (LDL-C), are major risk factors for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and ischemic stroke. Lipid-lowering therapy is associated with reduced risks of cardiovascular (CV) events and all-cause mortality in the general population. It is effective in both primary and secondary prevention [
      • Taylor F.
      • Huffman M.D.
      • Macedo A.F.
      • et al.
      Statins for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease.
      ,
      • Zhong P.
      • Wu D.
      • Ye X.
      • et al.
      Secondary prevention of major cerebrovascular events with seven different statins: a multi-treatment meta-analysis.
      ,
      • Mills E.J.
      • Wu P.
      • Chong G.
      • et al.
      Efficacy and safety of statin treatment for cardiovascular disease: a network meta-analysis of 170,255 patients from 76 randomized trials.
      ]. A meta-analysis that included 26 randomized trials and 170,000 participants has demonstrated that the intensive lowering of LDL-C produces definite reductions in the incidence of heart attack, revascularization, and ischemic stroke. It was found that each 1.0 mmol/L reduction in LDL-C decreased the annual rate of these major vascular events by over one-fifth; no threshold was identified for the cholesterol range studied. This indicates that reducing LDL cholesterol by 2–3 mmol/L may reduce risk by approximately 40%–50% [
      • Baigent C.
      • Blackwell L.
      • et al.
      Cholesterol Treatment Trialists’ (CTT) Collaboration
      Efficacy and safety of more intensive lowering of LDL cholesterol: a meta-analysis of data from 170,000 participants in 26 randomised trials.
      ]. However, a significant CVD risk has still been observed, even when the goal of LDL-C < 100 mg/dL was achieved with intensive statin therapy in several large trials [
      • LaRosa J.C.
      • Grundy S.M.
      • Waters D.D.
      • et al.
      Intensive lipid lowering with atorvastatin in patients with stable coronary disease.
      ,
      • Pedersen T.R.
      • Faergeman O.
      • Kastelein J.J.
      • et al.
      High-dose atorvastatin vs usual-dose simvastatin for secondary prevention after myocardial infarction: the IDEAL study: a randomized controlled trial.
      ,
      • Cannon C.P.
      • Braunwald E.
      • McCabe C.H.
      • et al.
      Intensive versus moderate lipid lowering with statins after acute coronary syndromes.
      ]. Remnant cholesterol (RC) is a potential risk factor associated with increased residual CV risk. RC is defined as the cholesterol content of remnants, which are a subset of triglyceride-rich lipoproteins. These include chylomicron remnants, very-low-density lipoproteins (VLDLs), and intermediate-density lipoproteins (IDLs). RC can be measured in the laboratory, as well as calculated based on LDL-C and HDL-C values. RC is calculated as the total cholesterol minus HDL-C minus LDL-C. RC is more abundant and larger, and on a per particle basis, remnants carry more cholesterol than LDL-C particles. It is also more harmful to the arterial endothelium [
      • Packard C.J.
      Remnants, LDL, and the quantification of lipoprotein-associated risk in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.
      ]. RC is associated with inflammation, oxidative stress, accelerated atherosclerosis, and ischemic heart disease, in both fasting and non-fasting states [
      • Liu L.
      • Wen T.
      • Zheng X.Y.
      • et al.
      Remnant-like particles accelerate endothelial progenitor cells senescence and induce cellular dysfunction via an oxidative mechanism.
      ,
      • Zheng X.Y.
      • Liu L.
      Remnant-like lipoprotein particles impair endothelial function: direct and indirect effects on nitric oxide synthase.
      ]. Elevated RC levels have been observed to be a risk factor for coronary artery disease (CAD) and ischemic heart disease (IHD) in some prospective and retrospective cohort studies [
      • Nakajima K.
      • Nakajima Y.
      • Takeichi S.
      • et al.
      Plasma remnant-like lipoprotein particles or LDL-C as major pathologic factors in sudden cardiac death cases.
      ,
      • Jørgensen A.B.
      • Frikke-Schmidt R.
      • West A.S.
      • et al.
      Genetically elevated non-fasting triglycerides and calculated remnant cholesterol as causal risk factors for myocardial infarction.
      ,
      • Varbo A.
      • Benn M.
      • Tybjærg-Hansen A.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol causes both low-grade inflammation and ischemic heart disease, whereas elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol causes ischemic heart disease without inflammation.
      ,
      • Varbo A.
      • Benn M.
      • Tybjærg-Hansen A.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol as a causal risk factor for ischemic heart disease.
      ,
      • Cheang I.
      • Zhu X.
      • Lu X.
      • et al.
      Association of remnant cholesterol and non-high density lipoprotein cholesterol with risk of cardiovascular mortality among US general population.
      ,
      • Varbo A.
      • Freiberg J.J.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Extreme nonfasting remnant cholesterol vs extreme LDL cholesterol as contributors to cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in 90000 individuals from the general population.
      ,
      • Jepsen A.M.
      • Langsted A.
      • Varbo A.
      • et al.
      Increased remnant cholesterol explains part of residual risk of all-cause mortality in 5414 patients with ischemic heart disease.
      ,
      • Joshi P.H.
      • Khokhar A.A.
      • Massaro J.M.
      • et al.
      Lipoprotein investigators collaborative (LIC) study group. Remnant lipoprotein cholesterol and incident coronary heart disease: the jackson heart and Framingham offspring cohort studies.
      ,
      • Chevli P.A.
      • Islam T.
      • Pokharel Y.
      • et al.
      Association between remnant lipoprotein cholesterol, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).
      ,
      • Saeed A.
      • Feofanova E.V.
      • Yu B.
      • et al.
      Remnant-Like particle cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein triglycerides, and incident cardiovascular disease.
      ]. However, these also include some relatively smaller studies. It is also inconclusive whether increased RC elevates the risks of stroke and mortality. RC, while previously neglected, has attracted attention in recent years as a potential risk factor for CVD. It is therefore needed to perform a meta-analysis that includes all clinical trials to further confirm the relationship between RC and the risks of CVD, stroke, and mortality.

      2. Materials and methods

      A standard protocol was developed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines [
      • Page M.J.
      • McKenzie J.E.
      • Bossuyt P.M.
      • et al.
      The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews.
      ]. This study was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO), number CRD42022299183.

      2.1 Search strategy and study selection

      We searched for and extracted the relevant literature from several databases, including MEDLINE (PubMed, January 1, 1966, to January 31, 2023), Web of Science, EMBASE (January 1, 1966, to January 31, 2023), ClinicalTrials.gov, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. The following keywords were used: “remnant cholesterol” and “cardiovascular disease,” “coronary heart disease,” “stroke,” “cardiovascular death,” or “cardiovascular mortality,” “all-cause death,” or “all-cause mortality.” Manual searches of references cited by the identified original studies and relevant review articles were also performed. The selected papers were evaluated. All the studies included in this meta-analysis were published in English. The detailed steps are demonstrated in Supplementary Fig. 1 and Supplementary Table 1.

      2.2 Inclusion and exclusion criteria

      A previous study [
      • Castañer O.
      • Pintó X.
      • Subirana I.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol, not LDL cholesterol, is associated with incident cardiovascular disease.
      ] reported that when RC ≥ 0.65 mmol/L (25 mg/dL), the volume of atherosclerotic plaques and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) increased. Based on this, we categorized patients according to their RC values as follows: patients with RC values of <0.65 mmol/L were categorized in the low-RC group, and patients with RC values of ≥0.65 mmol/L were categorized in the high-RC group.
      Studies that met the following criteria were included in our meta-analysis: (1) randomized controlled trials (RCTs), non-RCTs, and observational studies; (2) high RC was compared with low RC; and (3) an outcome (CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, all-cause mortality, or CVD mortality) was available.
      Studies were excluded if they met any of the following criteria: (1) not being published in English; (2) not presenting a comparison of outcomes; (3) providing no description of CVD, CHD, stroke, or all-cause mortality; (4) analyzing the same population or duplicates; and (5) containing a maximum RC value of less than 0.65 mmol/L.

      2.3 Data collection

      Three researchers (Yang X.H., Zhang B.L., and Cheng Y.) performed the search and reviewed the results. Data were independently extracted and collected by these three researchers who reviewed all the study characteristics (i.e., the first author's surname, year of publication, study design, sample, follow-up, and outcomes). Any disagreement regarding data extraction was resolved by inter-reviewer discussion in consultation with the other authors (Jin H.M. and Fun S.K.). Considering the different methods used to measure or estimate RC may lead to heterogeneity, so we also collected the details on the specific methods used to either measure or estimate the RC in each study. Some studies measured RC directly using an automated assay by Denka Seiken. Most of the studies indirectly calculated RC. The indirect method of estimating RC is to calculate the total TC - LDL-C – HDL-C. Regardless of the level of triglycerides, some studies determined LDL-C directly. However, some studies estimated LDL-C using the Friedewald equation when plasma triglycerides were <4.0 mmol/L; otherwise, it was measured directly.

      2.4 Summary measures and synthesis of results

      The risk ratio (RRs) for CVD, CHD, stroke, all-cause mortality, and CVD mortality were extracted from each study or calculated by one of the researchers (Yang X.H.). The baseline characteristics, such as the study design, age, sex, pre-existing conditions, study type, method of obtaining RC, outcomes, follow-up, and quality, were also extracted from all included studies. CVD events were defined as the occurrence of CHD (including myocardial infarction and angina), heart failure, and cerebrovascular diseases (including stroke, transient cerebral ischemic attack, and cerebrovascular accident). This was based on the diagnosis codes in the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification.

      2.5 Assessment of heterogeneity

      Heterogeneity was evaluated using Galbraith plots and I2 statistics. Studies with I2 values of <50% were considered non-heterogeneous; thus, a fixed-effects model was used in their analysis. However, studies with I2 > 50% were considered heterogeneous (50–75% and >75% represented medium and high heterogeneities, respectively); therefore, they were analyzed using a random-effects model [
      • Ioannidis J.P.
      • Patsopoulos N.A.
      • Evangelou E.
      Uncertainty in heterogeneity estimates in meta-analyses.
      ].

      2.6 Quality assessment and risk of bias assessment

      The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) system (https://gdt.gradepro.org/app/) was used to evaluate the quality of the evidence. The Risk of Bias in Non-randomized Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool was also used to assess the quality of the included non-RCTs [
      • Sterne J.A.C.
      • Hernán M.A.
      • Reeves B.C.
      • et al.
      ROBINS-I: a tool for assessing risk of bias in non-randomised studies of interventions.
      ]. The studies were ranked as having a low, moderate, serious, or critical risk of bias in seven domains. Any discrepancies were resolved by discussion with a third author (Jin H.M.).

      2.7 Statistical analyses

      The data were analyzed using STATA version 17.0 (StataCorp LLC, TX, USA). The RRs for CVD, CHD, stroke, all-cause mortality, and CVD mortality were either calculated or extracted from the individual studies. This meta-analysis was stratified for the different methods used to determine or estimate RC for those outcomes. We conducted a sensitivity analysis in which each study was evaluated for its effect on the estimate. The sensitivity analysis was performed using the metaninf function (one-study removal approach). Subgroup analyses were also performed to evaluate the effects of different disease conditions, such as the presence or absence of diabetes, the fasted or non-fasted state, race, total cholesterol, or triglyceride or ApoB stratification, and body mass index (BMI) on the risk of CVD events. Egger's test or Begg's test was used to evaluate the presence of publication bias. The statistical significance for all analyses was set at p < 0.05.

      3. Results

      3.1 Study flow and characteristics

      The decision-making process for the inclusion of studies in the meta-analysis is demonstrated in Supplementary Fig. 1. Overall, 31 studies involving 2,857,236 participants were included [
      • Nakajima K.
      • Nakajima Y.
      • Takeichi S.
      • et al.
      Plasma remnant-like lipoprotein particles or LDL-C as major pathologic factors in sudden cardiac death cases.
      ,
      • Jørgensen A.B.
      • Frikke-Schmidt R.
      • West A.S.
      • et al.
      Genetically elevated non-fasting triglycerides and calculated remnant cholesterol as causal risk factors for myocardial infarction.
      ,
      • Varbo A.
      • Benn M.
      • Tybjærg-Hansen A.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol causes both low-grade inflammation and ischemic heart disease, whereas elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol causes ischemic heart disease without inflammation.
      ,
      • Varbo A.
      • Benn M.
      • Tybjærg-Hansen A.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol as a causal risk factor for ischemic heart disease.
      ,
      • Cheang I.
      • Zhu X.
      • Lu X.
      • et al.
      Association of remnant cholesterol and non-high density lipoprotein cholesterol with risk of cardiovascular mortality among US general population.
      ,
      • Varbo A.
      • Freiberg J.J.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Extreme nonfasting remnant cholesterol vs extreme LDL cholesterol as contributors to cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in 90000 individuals from the general population.
      ,
      • Jepsen A.M.
      • Langsted A.
      • Varbo A.
      • et al.
      Increased remnant cholesterol explains part of residual risk of all-cause mortality in 5414 patients with ischemic heart disease.
      ,
      • Joshi P.H.
      • Khokhar A.A.
      • Massaro J.M.
      • et al.
      Lipoprotein investigators collaborative (LIC) study group. Remnant lipoprotein cholesterol and incident coronary heart disease: the jackson heart and Framingham offspring cohort studies.
      ,
      • Chevli P.A.
      • Islam T.
      • Pokharel Y.
      • et al.
      Association between remnant lipoprotein cholesterol, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).
      ,
      • Saeed A.
      • Feofanova E.V.
      • Yu B.
      • et al.
      Remnant-Like particle cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein triglycerides, and incident cardiovascular disease.
      ,
      • Castañer O.
      • Pintó X.
      • Subirana I.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol, not LDL cholesterol, is associated with incident cardiovascular disease.
      ,
      • Vallejo-Vaz A.J.
      • Fayyad R.
      • Boekholdt S.M.
      • et al.
      Triglyceride-rich lipoprotein cholesterol and risk of cardiovascular events among patients receiving statin therapy in the TNT trial.
      ,
      • Varbo A.
      • Freiberg J.J.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Remnant cholesterol and myocardial infarction in normal weight, overweight, and obese individuals from the copenhagen general population study.
      ,
      • Lin A.
      • Nerlekar N.
      • Rajagopalan A.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol and coronary atherosclerotic plaque burden assessed by computed tomography coronary angiography.
      ,
      • Bonfiglio C.
      • Leone C.M.
      • Silveira L.V.A.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol as a risk factor for cardiovascular, cancer or other causes mortality: a competing risks analysis.
      ,
      • Cao Y.X.
      • Zhang H.W.
      • Jin J.L.
      • et al.
      The longitudinal association of remnant cholesterol with cardiovascular outcomes in patients with diabetes and pre-diabetes.
      ,
      • Huh J.H.
      • Han K.D.
      • Cho Y.K.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol and the risk of cardiovascular disease in type 2 diabetes: a nationwide longitudinal cohort study.
      ,
      • Langsted A.
      • Madsen C.M.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Contribution of remnant cholesterol to cardiovascular risk.
      ,
      • Zhang K.
      • Qi X.
      • Zhu F.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol is associated with cardiovascular mortality.
      ,
      • Chen Y.
      • Li G.
      • Guo X.
      • et al.
      The effects of calculated remnant-like particle cholesterol on incident cardiovascular disease: insights from a general Chinese population.
      ,
      • Horace R.W.
      • Roberts M.
      • Shireman T.I.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol is prospectively associated with CVD events and all-cause mortality in kidney transplant recipients: the FAVORIT study.
      ,
      • Zheng X.
      • Han L.
      • Shen S.
      Hypertension, remnant cholesterol and cardiovascular disease: evidence from the China health and retirement longitudinal study.
      ,
      • Quispe R.
      • Martin S.S.
      • Michos E.D.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol predicts cardiovascular disease beyond LDL and ApoB: a primary prevention study.
      ,
      • Wadström B.N.
      • Wulff A.B.
      • Pedersen K.M.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol increases the risk of peripheral artery disease, myocardial infarction, and ischaemic stroke: a cohort-based study.
      ,
      • Yu D.
      • Wang Z.
      • Zhang X.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes and incident diabetic nephropathy.
      ,
      • Doi T.
      • Langsted A.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol reclassifies risk of ischemic heart disease and myocardial infarction.
      ,
      • Fu L.
      • Tai S.
      • Sun J.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol and its visit-to-visit variability predict cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes: findings from the ACCORD cohort.
      ,
      • Gao S.
      • Xu H.
      • Ma W.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol predicts risk of cardiovascular events in patients with myocardial infarction with nonobstructive coronary arteries.
      ,
      • Huang H.
      • Guo Y.
      • Liu Z.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol predicts long-term mortality of patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease.
      ,
      • Shao Q.
      • Yang Z.
      • Wang Y.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome.
      ,
      • Wadström B.N.
      • Pedersen K.M.
      • Wulff A.B.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol, plasma triglycerides, and cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality.
      ]. Table 1 displays the characteristics of the 31 included studies. CVD events were recorded in 20 studies, CHD was recorded in seven studies, stroke was recorded in seven studies, all-cause mortality was recorded in seven studies, and CVD mortality was recorded in seven studies. The number of studies that used indirect measures to estimate RC was 28. One study measured RC directly, and two studies both measured RC directly and used indirect methods to estimate RC.
      Table 1Characteristics of 31 studies associated with CVD events, CHD, all/CVD mortality and stroke.
      StudyCountryNAge (years)Sex (male%)Pre-existing conditionStudy typeRC (mmol/L)methods of RCTG (mmol/L)Fasted or non-fasted stateOutcomeFollow up
      Nakajima K et al., 2008 [
      • Nakajima K.
      • Nakajima Y.
      • Takeichi S.
      • et al.
      Plasma remnant-like lipoprotein particles or LDL-C as major pathologic factors in sudden cardiac death cases.
      ]
      Japan24149 (20–69)82.2Sudden cardiac death casesretrospective0.14–1.2Calculated-10.8–2.6non-fastedCVD mortalityNA
      Jørgensen BA et al., 2013 [
      • Jørgensen A.B.
      • Frikke-Schmidt R.
      • West A.S.
      • et al.
      Genetically elevated non-fasting triglycerides and calculated remnant cholesterol as causal risk factors for myocardial infarction.
      ]
      Denmark6184420–100/General populationProspective cohort0.6 (0.4–0.9)Calculated-20.8–2.0non-fastedCVD<22 years
      Varbo A et al., 2013 [
      • Varbo A.
      • Benn M.
      • Tybjærg-Hansen A.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol causes both low-grade inflammation and ischemic heart disease, whereas elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol causes ischemic heart disease without inflammation.
      ]
      Denmark6060820–100/General populationProspective cohort0.6 (0.4–0.9)Calculated-20.8–2.0non-fastedCHD<22 years
      Varbo A et al., 2013 [
      • Varbo A.
      • Benn M.
      • Tybjærg-Hansen A.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol as a causal risk factor for ischemic heart disease.
      ]
      Denmark7351359 (46–69)53.2General populationProspective cohort0.7 (0.5–1.0)Calculated-21.0–2.3non-fastedCHD10 years
      Cheang I et al., 2022 [
      • Cheang I.
      • Zhu X.
      • Lu X.
      • et al.
      Association of remnant cholesterol and non-high density lipoprotein cholesterol with risk of cardiovascular mortality among US general population.
      ]
      America1499248.1 ± 19.249.5General populationRetrospective cohort0.64 ± 0.35Calculated-21.38 ± 0.77fastedCVD mortalityNA
      Varbo A et al., 2015 [
      • Varbo A.
      • Freiberg J.J.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Extreme nonfasting remnant cholesterol vs extreme LDL cholesterol as contributors to cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in 90000 individuals from the general population.
      ]
      Denmark9000020–10045General populationProspective cohort0.45–1.49Calculated-20.9–3.3non-fastedCVD; CHD;

      All cause mortality
      5.3 years
      Jepsen AK et al., 2016 [
      • Jepsen A.M.
      • Langsted A.
      • Varbo A.
      • et al.
      Increased remnant cholesterol explains part of residual risk of all-cause mortality in 5414 patients with ischemic heart disease.
      ]
      Denmark541465 (58–72)67Patients with IHDProspective0.3–1.4Calculated-1 Measured0.7–3.0non-fastedAll cause mortality7 years
      Joshi PH et al., 2016 [
      • Joshi P.H.
      • Khokhar A.A.
      • Massaro J.M.
      • et al.
      Lipoprotein investigators collaborative (LIC) study group. Remnant lipoprotein cholesterol and incident coronary heart disease: the jackson heart and Framingham offspring cohort studies.
      ]
      America493254.4 ± 12.338General populationProspective cohort0.75 ± 0.3Calculated-10.8–1.6non-fastedCHD8 years
      Chevli PA et al., 2022 [
      • Chevli P.A.
      • Islam T.
      • Pokharel Y.
      • et al.
      Association between remnant lipoprotein cholesterol, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).
      ]
      America672062.2 ± 10.247.2General populationRetrospective cohort0.56 ± 0.43Calculated-21.25 ± 0.93fastedCVD15.6yeas
      Saeed A et al., 2018 [
      • Saeed A.
      • Feofanova E.V.
      • Yu B.
      • et al.
      Remnant-Like particle cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein triglycerides, and incident cardiovascular disease.
      ]
      Japan933462.7 ± 5.863.6Patients without CVDProspective cohort0.1–1.5Measured0.69–3.1fastedCVD; CHD; stroke16 years
      Castañer O et al., 2020 [
      • Castañer O.
      • Pintó X.
      • Subirana I.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol, not LDL cholesterol, is associated with incident cardiovascular disease.
      ]
      Spanish690167.0 ± 6.1742.6General populationObservational cohort0.65 ± 0.29Calculated-21.45 ± 0.64fastedCVD4.8 years
      Vallejo-Vaz AJ et al., 2018 [
      • Vallejo-Vaz A.J.
      • Fayyad R.
      • Boekholdt S.M.
      • et al.
      Triglyceride-rich lipoprotein cholesterol and risk of cardiovascular events among patients receiving statin therapy in the TNT trial.
      ]
      UK999335–7580.9Patients with coronary heart diseaseProspective observational0.40–1.33Calculated-20.90–2.76fastedCVD4.9 years
      Varbo A et al., 2018 [
      • Varbo A.
      • Freiberg J.J.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Remnant cholesterol and myocardial infarction in normal weight, overweight, and obese individuals from the copenhagen general population study.
      ]
      Denmark10621658 (48–67)45General populationProspective cohort0.49–1.45Calculated-21.08–3.19non-fastedCVD11 years
      Lin A et al., 2019 [
      • Lin A.
      • Nerlekar N.
      • Rajagopalan A.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol and coronary atherosclerotic plaque burden assessed by computed tomography coronary angiography.
      ]
      Australia58760.8 ± 12.355Patients with CADRetrospective cohort0.72 ± 0.46Calculated-21.3 (0.9–1.8)fastedCHD3 months
      Bonfiglio C et al., 2020 [
      • Bonfiglio C.
      • Leone C.M.
      • Silveira L.V.A.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol as a risk factor for cardiovascular, cancer or other causes mortality: a competing risks analysis.
      ]
      Italian572951.8 ± 12.564.2General populationprospective cohort0.45–1.95Calculated-20.97–4.30fastedCVD mortality11.8 years
      Cao YX et al., 2020 [
      • Cao Y.X.
      • Zhang H.W.
      • Jin J.L.
      • et al.
      The longitudinal association of remnant cholesterol with cardiovascular outcomes in patients with diabetes and pre-diabetes.
      ]
      China433158.32 ± 12.2971.1Patients with CADprospective cohort0.52 (0.36–0.73)Calculated-1 Measured1.46 (1.09–2.02)fastedCVD5.1 years
      Huh JH et al., 2022 [
      • Huh J.H.
      • Han K.D.
      • Cho Y.K.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol and the risk of cardiovascular disease in type 2 diabetes: a nationwide longitudinal cohort study.
      ]
      Korea195645256.92 ± 12.4255.2Patients with T2DMObservational cohort0.36–1.24Calculated-10.81–2.58fastedCVD; stroke8.1 years
      Langsted A et al., 2020 [
      • Langsted A.
      • Madsen C.M.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Contribution of remnant cholesterol to cardiovascular risk.
      ]
      Denmark10957420–80/General populationprospective cohort0.45–1.29Calculated-21.6 (1.1–2.3)non-fastedCVD5 years
      Zhang KR et al., 2022 [
      • Zhang K.
      • Qi X.
      • Zhu F.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol is associated with cardiovascular mortality.
      ]
      America1965046.4 ± 19.248.7General populationretrospective cohort0.6 ± 0.5Calculated-21.5 ± 1.3non-fastedCVD mortality93 months
      Chen YL et al., 2021 [
      • Chen Y.
      • Li G.
      • Guo X.
      • et al.
      The effects of calculated remnant-like particle cholesterol on incident cardiovascular disease: insights from a general Chinese population.
      ]
      China878253.2 ± 10.446.4General populationProspective cohort0.83 ± 0.44Calculated-11.4 ± 0.8fastedCVD; CHD

      CVD mortality; stroke
      4.66 years
      Horace RW et al., 2021 [
      • Horace R.W.
      • Roberts M.
      • Shireman T.I.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol is prospectively associated with CVD events and all-cause mortality in kidney transplant recipients: the FAVORIT study.
      ]
      America381251.9 ± 9.462.9Kidney transplant recipientsProspective cohort0.89 ± 0.13Calculated-22.0 ± 0.3non-fastedCVD;

      All cause mortality
      4 years
      Zheng XW et al., 2022 [
      • Zheng X.
      • Han L.
      • Shen S.
      Hypertension, remnant cholesterol and cardiovascular disease: evidence from the China health and retirement longitudinal study.
      ]
      China945658.73 ± 9.5248.2General populationretrospective cohort0.52 (0.37–0.91)Calculated-1NAfastedCVD; stroke7 years
      Quispe R et al., 2021 [
      • Quispe R.
      • Martin S.S.
      • Michos E.D.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol predicts cardiovascular disease beyond LDL and ApoB: a primary prevention study.
      ]
      America1753258 (30–66)43.3ASCVD-free individualsProspective cohort0.51 (0.4–0.9)Calculated-21.12 (0.76–1.67)fastedCVD18.7 years
      Wadstrom BN et al., 2021 [
      • Wadström B.N.
      • Wulff A.B.
      • Pedersen K.M.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol increases the risk of peripheral artery disease, myocardial infarction, and ischaemic stroke: a cohort-based study.
      ]
      Denmark12091155(46–66)44.8General populationProspective cohort0.45–1.7Calculated-20.9–3.8non-fastedCVD; stroke15 years
      Yu DH et al., 2021 [
      • Yu D.
      • Wang Z.
      • Zhang X.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes and incident diabetic nephropathy.
      ]
      China228258 (49–66)58.94T2DM,

      CKD stages 3–5
      Prospective observational0.67 ± 0.43Calculated-21.81 ± 0.85fastedCVD mortality2 years
      Doi T et al., 2022 [
      • Doi T.
      • Langsted A.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol reclassifies risk of ischemic heart disease and myocardial infarction.
      ]
      Denmark4192857 (49–66)43.0General populationProspective cohort0.4–2.0Calculated-20.8–5.3non-fastedCVD;

      CHD
      12.0 years
      Fu LY et al., 2022 [
      • Fu L.
      • Tai S.
      • Sun J.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol and its visit-to-visit variability predict cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes: findings from the ACCORD cohort.
      ]
      China1019662.77 ± 6.6361.48T2DMProspective cohort0.94 ± 0.62Calculated-12.15 ± 1.68fastedCVD8.8 years
      Gao S et al., 2022 [
      • Gao S.
      • Xu H.
      • Ma W.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol predicts risk of cardiovascular events in patients with myocardial infarction with nonobstructive coronary arteries.
      ]
      China117955.7 ± 11.873.5Patients with CADProspective cohort0.56 ± 0.34Calculated-11.44 (1.05–2.00)fastedCVD;

      All cause mortality;

      Stroke
      41.7 months
      Huang HK et al., 2022 [
      • Huang H.
      • Guo Y.
      • Liu Z.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol predicts long-term mortality of patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease.
      ]
      America515648.31 ± 0.5850.27Patients with MAFLDRetrospective0.87 ± 0.02Calculated-21.91 ± 0.05non-fastedAll cause mortality;

      CVD mortality
      307 months
      Shao QY et al., 2022 [
      • Shao Q.
      • Yang Z.
      • Wang Y.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome.
      ]
      China171660 ± 1076.7Patients with ACSRetrospective0.58 (0.43–0.79)Calculated-11.45 (1.01–2.06)fastedCVD;

      All cause mortality; stroke
      30.9 months
      Wadstrom BN et al., 2023 [
      • Wadström B.N.
      • Pedersen K.M.
      • Wulff A.B.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol, plasma triglycerides, and cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality.
      ]
      Denmark8719220–6944.2General populationProspective cohort0.3–2.0Calculated-20.7–5.0non-fastedAll cause mortality;

      CVD mortality
      13 years
      N/A:not applicable; CVD: cardiovascular disease; CKD: chronic kidney disease; CAD: coronary artery disease; T2D:type 2 diabetes mellitus.
      ASCVD: atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; MI: myocardial infarction; NSTE-ACS: non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome.
      PCI: percutaneous coronary intervention; NAFLD: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease; IHD: Ischemic Heart Disease.
      MAFLD: metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease; RC: remnant cholesterol.
      Calculated-1: Indirect measures estimate RC by calculating total cholesterol - LDL-cholesterol - HDL cholesterol. Regardless the levels of triglyceride, LDL-Cholesterol was determined directly.
      Calculated-2: Indirect measures estimateRC by calculating total cholesterol - LDL-cholesterol - HDL cholesterol. LDL-Cholesterol was calculated by the Friedewald equation when plasma triglycerides were <4.0 mmol/L (<352 mg/dL), and otherwise measured directly.
      Measured: RC was measured directly with an automated assay by Denka Seiken.

      3.2 Relative risks of CVD events and CHD

      CVD events were recorded in 20 studies investigating high versus low RC, and CHD was recorded in seven studies. The results of the random-effects model's pooling of the RRs for the CVD events and CHD are demonstrated in Fig. 1, Fig. 2. Compared to the low-RC group, the high-RC group demonstrated an increased risk of CVD events (RR = 1.53, 95% CI 1.41–1.66, p < 0.0001; Fig. 1), with moderate heterogeneity between studies (Supplementary Fig. 2A). Similarly, the pooled results from the seven studies recording CHD indicated that high RC was associated with increased CHD outcomes (RR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.19–1.67, p < 0.0001; Fig. 2), with moderate heterogeneity between studies (Supplementary Fig. 2B). The stratification of RC was also analyzed in six studies, and the results indicated that CVD events increased with an increase in RC (Supplementary Table 2).
      Fig. 1
      Fig. 1RRs for CVD events associated with high vs. low RC from pooled studies.
      Calculated-1: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC - LDL-C – HDL-C; regardless of the level of triglycerides, LDL-C was measured directly. Calculated-2: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC - LDL-C – HDL-C. LDL-C was calculated using the Friedewald equation when plasma triglycerides were <4.0 mmol/L; otherwise, it was measured directly. Measured: RC was measured directly using an automated assay by Denka Seiken.
      Fig. 2
      Fig. 2RRs for CHD associated with high vs. low RC from pooled studies.
      Calculated-1: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC - LDL-C – HDL-C; regardless of the level of triglycerides, LDL-C was measured directly. Calculated-2: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC - LDL-C – HDL-C. LDL-C was calculated using the Friedewald equation when plasma triglycerides were <4.0 mmol/L; otherwise, it was measured directly. Measured: RC was measured directly using an automated assay by Denka Seiken.

      3.3 Relative risks of stroke and mortality

      Seven studies assessed stroke as an outcome, seven studies investigated all-cause mortality, and seven studies investigated CVD mortality. The results from the pooling of the RRs for stroke, CVD mortality, and all-cause mortality are demonstrated inFig. 3A-C, respectively. Compared to the low-RC group, the high-RC group demonstrated an increased risk of stroke (RR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.24–1.66, p < 0.0001; Fig. 3A), with moderate heterogeneity between studies (Supplementary Fig. 2C). The pooled results from the seven studies indicated that high RC was associated with increased CVD mortality when compared with low RC (RR = 1.83, 95% CI 1.53–2.19, p < 0.0001; Fig. 3B), with moderate heterogeneity between studies (Supplementary Fig. 2D). Similarly, the pooled results from the seven studies indicated that high RC was associated with increased all-cause mortality when compared with low RC (RR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.27–1.50, p < 0.0001; Fig. 3C), with non-heterogeneity between studies (Supplementary Fig. 2E).
      Fig. 3
      Fig. 3RRs for stroke and mortality associated with high vs. low RC from pooled studies. (A) RRs for stroke associated with high RC. (B) RRs for CVD mortality associated with high RC. (C) RRs for all-cause mortality associated with high RC. Calculated-1: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC – LDL-C – HDL-C. Regardless of the level of triglycerides, LDL-C was measured directly. Calculated-2: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC - LDL-C – HDL-C. LDL-C was calculated using the Friedewald equation when plasma triglycerides were <4.0 mmol/L; otherwise, it was measured directly. Measured: RC was measured directly using an automated assay by Denka Seiken.
      Fig. 3
      Fig. 3RRs for stroke and mortality associated with high vs. low RC from pooled studies. (A) RRs for stroke associated with high RC. (B) RRs for CVD mortality associated with high RC. (C) RRs for all-cause mortality associated with high RC. Calculated-1: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC – LDL-C – HDL-C. Regardless of the level of triglycerides, LDL-C was measured directly. Calculated-2: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC - LDL-C – HDL-C. LDL-C was calculated using the Friedewald equation when plasma triglycerides were <4.0 mmol/L; otherwise, it was measured directly. Measured: RC was measured directly using an automated assay by Denka Seiken.
      Fig. 3
      Fig. 3RRs for stroke and mortality associated with high vs. low RC from pooled studies. (A) RRs for stroke associated with high RC. (B) RRs for CVD mortality associated with high RC. (C) RRs for all-cause mortality associated with high RC. Calculated-1: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC – LDL-C – HDL-C. Regardless of the level of triglycerides, LDL-C was measured directly. Calculated-2: indirect method used to estimate RC by calculating total TC - LDL-C – HDL-C. LDL-C was calculated using the Friedewald equation when plasma triglycerides were <4.0 mmol/L; otherwise, it was measured directly. Measured: RC was measured directly using an automated assay by Denka Seiken.

      3.4 Subgroup analysis of relative risk of CVD events

      Age, sex, pre-existing conditions, a fasted or non-fasted state, race, total cholesterol or triglyceride levels, LDL-C or ApoB, the presence or absence of diabetes or hypertension, and BMI were potential confounders related to CVD outcomes. As demonstrated in Fig. 4, the estimated RRs indicated that high RC was associated with an increased risk of CVD events in participants aged <65 years, as well as in participants aged ≥65 years, compared to low RC (RR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.14–1.70, p < 0.0001; RR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.16–1.25, p < 0.0001, respectively). The estimated RRs also indicated that high RC increased the risk of CVD events irrespective of the male or female sex (RR = 1.31, 95% CI 1.26–1.36, p < 0.0001; RR = 1.27, 95% CI 1.23–1.31, p < 0.0001, respectively) when compared to low RC. The estimated RRs indicated that high RC was associated with the increased risk of CVD events whether in a fasted or non-fasted state (RR = 1.36, 95% CI 1.26–1.47, p < 0.0001; RR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.31–1.86, p < 0.0001, respectively). Similarly, high RC was also associated with an increased risk of CVD events regardless of the race, presence or absence of previous heart disease, with or without diabetes or hypertension and different BMI stratifications. Also this association was not dependent of high or low total directly measured cholesterol, triglycerides, LDL-C or ApoB levels. We also analyzed the risk of RC increase per 1.0 mmol/L of RC and CVD events in five studies. As demonstrated in Supplementary Fig. 3, a 1.0 mmol/L of RC increase was associated with an increased risk of CVD events and CHD (RR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.08–1.22; RR = 1.58, 95% CI 1.12–2.23, respectively).
      Fig. 4
      Fig. 4Subgroup analysis of high RC for the risk of CVD events.

      3.5 Subgroup analysis of relative risks of CHD, stroke, and mortality

      To determine whether there were differences in outcomes (CHD, stroke, and mortality) between lipid profile measurements of RC taken in a fasted and a non-fasted state, we conducted a subgroup analysis according to fasted and non-fasted states. The results showed that high RC was associated with increased risks of CHD, stroke, and CVD mortality regardless of the fasted or non-fasted state (Supplementary Figs. 4A–C). As shown in Supplementary Fig. 4D, the estimated RR indicated that high RC was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in the non-fasted state.

      3.6 Sensitivity analysis and publication bias

      Considering the importance of potential confounders in observational studies, sensitivity analyses were conducted by excluding studies with a serious risk of bias. After the exclusion of each study, no significant association emerged for the outcomes in the sensitivity analysis.
      Publication bias was assessed using Egger's test or Begg's test. Consequently, no publication bias was found in the pooled studies on CHD, CVD mortality and all-cause mortality (CHD, p = 0.297; CVD mortality, p = 0.202; all-cause mortality, p = 0.288). However, there was a significant publication bias for CVD and stroke (CVD, p = 0.001; stroke, p = 0.022).

      3.7 Risk of bias assessment and quality of evidence assessment

      The detailed risk assessment of the included studies using the ROBINS-I tool is demonstrated in Supplementary Table 3. Eight studies were evaluated as having a low risk of overall bias, as they were graded as having a low risk of bias in all seven domains. Only one study was graded as having a serious risk, as it was graded as having a serious risk of bias in at least one domain. Twenty-two studies were graded as having a moderate risk of overall bias, with more than one domain being graded as having a moderate risk of bias.
      The GRADE system was used to assess the quality of the evidence. The evaluation results are presented in Supplementary Table 4. In summary, the quality of the evidence was rated as moderate for CVD, CHD, stroke, all-cause mortality, and CVD mortality due to the observational nature of the studies or the risk of bias.

      4. Discussion

      This meta-analysis is the first pooled study that includes the largest number of studies and the largest sample size to assess the association between RC levels and the risks of CVD, stroke, and mortality. The main results indicate that elevated RC is associated with an increased risk of CVD events, stroke, and mortality, both in the general population and in patients with disease status. A subgroup analysis further indicated that this association was not dependent on the population (with or without disease), the presence or absence of diabetes, blood total cholesterol, triglyceride, ApoB levels, or BMI stratification.
      There are some concerns as to whether calculated RC can accurately reflect real RC. Remnant lipoprotein levels are difficult to measure because of the heterogeneous nature of these macromolecules. Traditional methods using ultracentrifugation, agarose gel electrophoresis, low-concentration polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis, nuclear magnetic resonance, or high-performance liquid chromatography are complex and time-consuming [
      • Tada H.
      • Nohara A.
      • Inazu A.
      • et al.
      Remnant lipoproteins and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.
      ]. RC is easy to calculate and use in clinical practice. It is especially suitable for application in large prospective cohort studies. There are some arguments for the use of calculated RC to evaluate CVD prognosis [
      • McPherson R.
      Remnant cholesterol: "Non-(HDL-C + LDL-C)" as a coronary artery disease risk factor.
      ,
      • Faridi K.F.
      • Quispe R.
      • Martin S.S.
      • et al.
      Comparing different assessments of remnant lipoprotein cholesterol: the very large database of lipids.
      ,
      • Chen J.
      • Kuang J.
      • Tang X.
      • et al.
      Comparison of calculated remnant lipoprotein cholesterol levels with levels directly measured by nuclear magnetic resonance.
      ]. However, in the analysis of the association of both measured and calculated RC with all-cause mortality in patients with prior ischemic heart disease, calculated RC has been demonstrated to have the strongest association [
      • Bonfiglio C.
      • Leone C.M.
      • Silveira L.V.A.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol as a risk factor for cardiovascular, cancer or other causes mortality: a competing risks analysis.
      ]. In a comparison and association of RC levels (estimated using calculated and measured LDL-C levels) with CHD, non-fasting estimated RC was observed to be an independent predictor of CHD risk in Chinese subjects with CHD [
      • Xiang Q.Y.
      • Tian F.
      • Lin Q.Z.
      • et al.
      Comparison of remnant cholesterol levels estimated by calculated and measured LDL-C levels in Chinese patients with coronary heart disease.
      ]. This indicates that the non-fasting state of estimated RC is critical in determining the development of atherosclerosis. A comparison of calculated vs. directly measured RC using nuclear magnetic resonance also indicated that calculated RC was positively consistent with measured RC at high TG levels (≥150 mg/dL), and calculated RC had low correlations with measured RC when the TG levels were <150 mg/dL [
      • Chen J.
      • Kuang J.
      • Tang X.
      • et al.
      Comparison of calculated remnant lipoprotein cholesterol levels with levels directly measured by nuclear magnetic resonance.
      ]. So, using calculated RC instead of directly measured RC when stratified by TG level to evaluate actual RC in clinical studies may be feasible. It is unclear whether the use of RC as a risk marker for initially identifying high-risk patients can improve the 10-year risk score or the European scoring system. No studies have explored or validated the 10-year risk score when using RC as a risk marker. The use of large cohorts in the future will confirm RC and the 10-year risk score or the European scoring system prediction model.
      There are some concerns as to whether the risk of RC is dependent on LDL-C and triacylglyceride levels. In several clinic trials, LDL-C levels were not measured directly but instead calculated with the Friedewald formula if triglycerides were less than 4.5 mmol/L. According to the widely used Friedewald equation, LDL-C is assessed as total cholesterol minus HDL-C minus triglycerides in mg/dL divided by 5. Therefore, RC-calculated according to this definition is serum TGs in mg/dL divided by 5 (or TG in mmol/L divided by 2.2). In general, TGs are transported in the plasma in VLDL, chylomicrons, and their remnants during metabolism. The Friedewald equation assumes a fixed ratio between TGs and VLDL-C of 5:1. Data from individuals in the Framingham Heart Study who were free of coronary heart disease indicated that VLDL-C was easily estimated by multiplying the triglyceride value by 0.20 [
      • Wilson P.W.
      • Abbott R.D.
      • Garrison R.J.
      • et al.
      Estimation of very-low-density lipoprotein cholesterol from data on triglyceride concentration in plasma.
      ]. Therefore, the formula TC - LDL-C - HDL-C captures VLDL-C as well as other remnant-C.
      The Copenhagen City Heart Study found that employing both direct assays and calculations using the Friedewald equation produced similar results in the LDL-C range from 1 to 10 mmol/L in the prediction of future cardiovascular events [
      • Varbo A.
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      Directly measured vs. calculated remnant cholesterol identifies additional overlooked individuals in the general population at higher risk of myocardial infarction.
      ]. In our meta-analysis, we also confirm that RC levels determined from LDL-C levels both measured and calculated using the Friedewald equation are associated with an elevated CVD risk, indicating that it is feasible to use calculated LDL-C when assaying RC. In a study involving 10196 patients with diabetes, it was observed that visit-to-visit calculated RC variability was associated with major adverse cardiovascular events, independent of LDL-C levels [
      • Fu L.
      • Tai S.
      • Sun J.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol and its visit-to-visit variability predict cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes: findings from the ACCORD cohort.
      ].
      Usually, elevated levels of non-fasting/post-prandial triglycerides directly correlate with elevated RC in the general population, and elevated triglyceride levels act as excellent markers for elevated RC [
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      • Benn M.
      • Schnohr P.
      • et al.
      Nonfasting triglycerides and risk of myocardial infarction, ischemic heart disease, and death in men and women.
      ,
      • Nordestgaard B.G.
      • Freiberg J.J.
      Clinical relevance of non-fasting and postprandial hypertriglyceridemia and remnant cholesterol.
      ]. A previous meta-analysis demonstrated that elevated triglyceride levels were excellent markers of an increased CVD risk, but this association disappeared after adjustment for HDL cholesterol and non-HDL cholesterol [
      • Di Angelantonio E.
      • Sarwar N.
      • Perry P.
      • et al.
      Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration
      Major lipids, apolipoproteins, and risk of vascular disease.
      ]. A recent study showed that an RC of ≥1 mmol/L and plasma triglycerides of ≥2 mmol/L are associated with two-fold mortality from cardiovascular and other causes [
      • Wadström B.N.
      • Pedersen K.M.
      • Wulff A.B.
      • et al.
      Elevated remnant cholesterol, plasma triglycerides, and cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality.
      ]. In patients with high triacylglyceride levels, a causal association between elevated levels of calculated RC and an increased risk of myocardial infarction was observed in the Copenhagen City Heart Study, indicating that the arteriosclerotic effect of RC does not depend on blood triglyceride levels [
      • Jørgensen A.B.
      • Frikke-Schmidt R.
      • West A.S.
      • et al.
      Genetically elevated non-fasting triglycerides and calculated remnant cholesterol as causal risk factors for myocardial infarction.
      ]. In this meta-analysis, it was also observed that the relationship between RC and CVD is independent of blood triglyceride levels. The Prevention of Diet Mediterranean (PREDIMED) also showed that triglycerides (HR = 1.04, 95%CI 1.02–1.06) and RC (HR = 1.21, 95%CI 1.10–1.33) were independently associated with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in high-risk primary prevention [
      • Castañer O.
      • Pintó X.
      • Subirana I.
      • et al.
      Remnant cholesterol, not LDL cholesterol, is associated with incident cardiovascular disease.
      ].
      There are some controversies regarding the use of fasting or non-fasting remnant lipid profiles to predict potential CVD risk. In the past, a fasting state was recommended for many years; however, fasting lipid measurements are clinically inconvenient for some patients. Non-fasting lipid levels have been recommended in several guidelines. Non-fasting lipid levels might also be a better indicator of plasma atherogenic lipoprotein concentrations when compared with fasting state levels [
      • Di Angelantonio E.
      • Sarwar N.
      • Perry P.
      • et al.
      Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration
      Major lipids, apolipoproteins, and risk of vascular disease.
      ]. Several current recommendations support the use of a random, non-fasting lipid profile in clinical practice for CVD risk prediction [
      • Catapano A.L.
      • Graham I.
      • De Backer G.
      • et al.
      ESC/EAS guidelines for the management of dyslipidaemias.
      ,
      • Visseren F.L.J.
      • Mach F.
      • Smulders Y.M.
      • et al.
      ESC Guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention in clinical practice.
      ]. In the subgroup analysis, it was shown that, regardless of the use of fasting or non-fasting RC, elevated RC is associated with an elevated CVD risk, so it is convenient to use non-fasting RC in clinic follow-ups.
      Some previous prospective, retrospective, and case–control studies, as well as this meta-analysis, have clearly demonstrated that (1) elevated RC is strongly related to cardiovascular outcomes; (2) patients with clinically diagnosed CAD or CHD often display high RC levels; and (3) estimated or measured RC can predict the probability of future CVD events, stroke, and mortality.
      There are some potential confounding factors that affect the outcomes of RC and CVD. The common factors are obesity or metabolic syndrome (MetS). The clinical diagnosis of MetS includes the presence of an increased waist circumference or abdominal obesity, reduced high-density lipoprotein levels, elevated blood pressure, and increased blood glucose and triacylglyceride levels. The effects on cholesterol in obesity or MetS are often neglected. Previous studies have demonstrated that a high BMI and an increased waist circumference are more associated with cholesterol levels than triacylglyceride levels in children [
      • Bekkers M.B.
      • Brunekreef B.
      • Koppelman G.H.
      • et al.
      BMI and waist circumference; cross-sectional and prospective associations with blood pressure and cholesterol in 12-year-olds.
      ,
      • Bingham M.O.
      • Harrell J.S.
      • Takada H.
      • et al.
      Obesity and cholesterol in Japanese, French, and U.S. children.
      ]. Moreover, cholesterol might directly induce murine incident MetS and insulin resistance [
      • Mells J.E.
      • Fu P.P.
      • Kumar P.
      • et al.
      Saturated fat and cholesterol are critical to inducing murine metabolic syndrome with robust nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.
      ,
      • Henkel J.
      • Coleman C.D.
      • Schraplau A.
      • et al.
      Induction of steatohepatitis (NASH) with insulin resistance in wildtype B6 mice by a western-type diet containing soybean oil and cholesterol.
      ]. In a previous study of the JCR:LA-cp rat model of metabolic syndrome (MetS), it was observed that the increased progression of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in the presence of MetS and type 2 diabetes mellitus might be explained by an increase in the arterial retention of cholesterol-rich remnants [
      • Mangat R.
      • Warnakula S.
      • Borthwick F.
      • et al.
      Arterial retention of remnant lipoproteins ex vivo is increased in insulin resistance because of increased arterial biglycan and production of cholesterol-rich atherogenic particles that can be improved by ezetimibe in the JCR:LA-cp rat.
      ].
      Cholesterol-rich ApoB is another CVD risk factor. It has been established that elevated ApoB levels are causatively linked to the development of atherosclerotic CVD [
      • Behbodikhah J.
      • Ahmed S.
      • Elyasi A.
      • et al.
      Apolipoprotein B and cardiovascular disease: biomarker and potential therapeutic target.
      ]. In a large cohort study involving 389529 individuals in the primary prevention group, the risk of myocardial infarction was best indicated by the number of ApoB-containing lipoproteins, independent from the lipid content (cholesterol or triacylglyceride) or type of lipoprotein (LDL or triacylglyceride-rich) [
      • Marston N.A.
      • Giugliano R.P.
      • Melloni G.E.M.
      • et al.
      Association of apolipoprotein B-containing lipoproteins and risk of myocardial infarction in individuals with and without atherosclerosis: distinguishing between particle concentration, type, and content.
      ]. The 2019 European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society Guidelines states that ApoB is a more accurate measure of cardiovascular risk and provides a better indication of the adequacy and efficacy of lipid-lowering therapy than LDL-C or non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels. The traditional model of atherosclerosis indicates that the mass of cholesterol within VLDL and LDL particles is the principal determinant of the mass of cholesterol that will be deposited within the arterial wall within ApoB, further driving atherogenesis. The newer ApoB particle model of atherogenesis proposes that the number of ApoB particles that enter and are trapped within the arterial wall is determined primarily by the number of ApoB particles within the arterial lumen [
      • Sniderman A.D.
      • Thanassoulis G.
      • Glavinovic T.
      • et al.
      Apolipoprotein B particles and cardiovascular disease: a narrative review.
      ]. Apart from cholesterol-rich lipoprotein, triglyceride-rich ApoB-containing remnant lipoproteins are also retained and modified within the arterial wall, leading to atherosclerosis [
      • Borén J.
      • Williams K.J.
      The central role of arterial retention of cholesterol-rich apolipoprotein-B-containing lipoproteins in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis: a triumph of simplicity.
      ].
      Considering the potential evidence obtained from some large perspective cohorts and this meta-analysis for the use of RC in predicting MACE, it is reasonable to conclude that RC-lowering therapy can further reduce residual CVD risks. Statins increase the clearance of ApoB-containing lipoproteins and are therefore expected to reduce both LDL-C and RC levels. In the TNT trial, 80 mg/d of atorvastatin reduced RC to a greater extent than 10 mg/d of atorvastatin. Each SD percentage reduction in RC with atorvastatin resulted in a significantly lower risk of MACE (HR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.86–1.00) [
      • Vallejo-Vaz A.J.
      • Fayyad R.
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      • et al.
      Triglyceride-rich lipoprotein cholesterol and risk of cardiovascular events among patients receiving statin therapy in the TNT trial.
      ]. A combination therapy of statins with ezetimibe or a proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitor to further lower RC could reduce residual CVD risks. There are several reports that have found that the combination of ezetimibe with statins reduces RC to a greater extent than using ezetimibe or statins alone [
      • Ahmed O.
      • Littmann K.
      • Gustafsson U.
      • et al.
      Ezetimibe in combination with simvastatin reduces remnant cholesterol without affecting biliary lipid concentrations in gallstone patients.
      ,
      • Mangili O.C.
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      • Mangili L.C.
      • et al.
      Favorable effects of ezetimibe alone or in association with simvastatin on the removal from plasma of chylomicrons in coronary heart disease subjects.
      ]. PCSK9 monoclonal antibodies are lipid-lowering drugs with broad clinical applications [
      • Kosmas C.E.
      • Muñoz Estrella A.
      • Skavdis A.
      • et al.
      Inclisiran for the treatment of cardiovascular disease: a short review on the emerging data and therapeutic potential.
      ]. Whether PCSK9 inhibitors alone or in combination with statins can reduce residual CVD risk and mortality requires further clinical trials for confirmation. There is a growing controversy about triglyceride-lowering therapy in combination with statins for further reducing residual CVD risks among high-risk patients [
      • Das Pradhan A.
      • Glynn R.J.
      • Fruchart J.C.
      • et al.
      PROMINENT investigators. Triglyceride lowering with pemafibrate to reduce cardiovascular risk.
      ,
      • Ginsberg H.N.
      • Elam M.B.
      • Lovato L.C.
      • et al.
      ACCORD Study Group
      Effects of combination lipid therapy in type 2 diabetes mellitus.
      ,
      • Bhatt D.L.
      • Steg P.G.
      • Miller M.
      • et al.
      REDUCE-IT investigators. Cardiovascular risk reduction with icosapent ethyl for hypertriglyceridemia.
      ]. In a previous study, pemafibrate, a potent and selective synthetic agonist of the PPARα nuclear receptor, which lowers plasma triglycerides by increasing the activity of lipoprotein lipase, was found to reduce triglyceride, VLDL-C, and RC levels in type 2 diabetes; however, it was not found to reduce CVD events as compared with a placebo during a 3.4-year follow-up [
      • Das Pradhan A.
      • Glynn R.J.
      • Fruchart J.C.
      • et al.
      PROMINENT investigators. Triglyceride lowering with pemafibrate to reduce cardiovascular risk.
      ]. One possible explanation for this is that it also leads to an increase in blood LDL-C; the median change from baseline % was 14 (−6.3 to 41.4) in the pemafibrate group as compared with 2.9 (−13.5 to 24.6) in the placebo group. Other confounding factors probably affect the composite endpoint, such as blood sugar and blood pressure control, age, and sex. In other non-diabetic patients with hypertriglyceridemia, triglyceride-lowering therapy using fibrates or icosapent ethyl has been found to reduce the risks of CVD events and mortality [
      • Bhatt D.L.
      • Steg P.G.
      • Miller M.
      • et al.
      REDUCE-IT investigators. Cardiovascular risk reduction with icosapent ethyl for hypertriglyceridemia.
      ]. More clinical trials are needed to confirm the effect of triglyceride-lowering therapy on RC and CVD endpoints.
      This meta-analysis has several potential limitations. First, the heterogeneity of the RC test methods may have led to unreliable results. Although we stratified the RC of the different tests, the high RC of each test was found to be associated with elevated CVD events after stratification, suggesting that the use of different RC methods to assess the risk of CVD is still clinically practical. The increased heterogeneity was also due to the different study designs (RCT, prospective, or retrospective cohorts) and the measured or calculated RC and LDL-C. Second, the subgroup analysis, which examined factors such as smoking status and HDL-C level, could not be re-analyzed for the risk of CVD or CHD with RC, because most of the included papers lacked these data. Future studies should include these data to further exclude those confounding factors. Third, we only found that increased RC was associated with increased CVD events, and we could not prove that they were causal. This needs to be further confirmed by a genome-wide association study (GWAS) and Mendelian randomization studies in the future.
      In conclusion, this meta-analysis indicates that elevated RC is associated with increased risks of CVD events, CHD, stroke, cardiac death, and all-cause mortality. Each 1.0 mmol/L increase in RC was found to be associated with an increased risk of CVD events and CHD. Apart from conventional lipid parameters, RC should be of high concern to clinicians.

      Financial support

      This study was supported by Key Specialty of Plasma Purification in Shanghai Pudong Hospital (Zdzk2020-12) and Special Disease of Hyperlipidemia in Shanghai Pudong Hospital (Tszb2023-17).

      Systematic review registration

      PROSPERO CRD42022299183.

      CRediT authorship contribution statement

      Xiu Hong Yang: selected the articles, extracted, and, Formal analysis, interpreted the data and contributed to the writing of the final version of the manuscript, wrote the first draft of the manuscript. Bao Long Zhang: selected the articles, extracted, and, Formal analysis, wrote the first draft of the manuscript, interpreted the data and contributed to the writing of the final version of the manuscript. All authors agreed with the results and conclusions of this Article. Yun Cheng: selected the articles, extracted, and, Formal analysis, wrote the first draft of the manuscript. Shun Kun Fu: conceived and designed the study. Hui Min Jin: conceived and designed the study.

      Declaration of competing interest

      The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

      Acknowledgments

      All authors have approved the final version of the manuscript and have agreed to submit it to this journal. Zhang BL, Cheng Y and Yang XH contributed equally to this paper.

      Appendix A. Supplementary data

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